5 that will be gone by 2030

At the very least for the last thirty years, and maybe even longer depending on the films you've watched, people have been telling tales about the imminent extinction of the human race and its workforce. You are familiar with the procedure. It is inevitable that machines will eventually replace humans in the workforce. Because we are all going to die eventually, artificial intelligence (AI) will eventually become self-sufficient, at which time none of us will need employment.

The point is, in much the same way that we were supposed to have flying vehicles by now, most of what we were promised would happen has not really occurred. This is in contrast to the fact that we were supposed to have flying cars by now.

Nevertheless, the use of automation and AI continues to drive everything from anxieties about the state of the labor market to the political discussion around measures such as universal basic income.

Is it ever really the case that occupations are replaced?

In a study that was published in 2017, McKinsey highlighted some of the following statistics:

It is theoretically possible to automate fifty percent of all job tasks simply adjusting how we use existing technology.

Around six out of ten occupations have more than thirty percent of their tasks that are theoretically capable of being automated.

In addition, the research provides an in-depth discussion on the topic of workforce displacement, stating that as many as 800 million occupations throughout the globe and 475 million people might be replaced by automation by the year 2030.

Those figures make it very simple to feel frightened and concerned. It's a terrifying prospect to think that automation may force 6% of the world's workforce to look for new employment opportunities.

On the other hand, not everything is as it appears.

Why shouldn't they?

Because in most circumstances, employment opportunities will not vanish. Instead, automation and AI will help to change job roles and help make human employees more successful, both of which will contribute to the evolution of the workforce. This, in turn, will make firms more successful, helping economies develop and rising salaries, both of which feed consumer spending and further economic expansion.

Even in areas where some jobs are eliminated, others will be created because to the possibilities presented by advances in robotics, AI, and other forms of automation. Additionally, a significant portion of these positions will be available in brand-new businesses and market segments that will emerge as a direct consequence of the utilization of AI.

Which occupations will be extinct by the year 2030, and why? Which ones are going to be there for a while and are not likely to vanish completely?

5 occupations that won't exist any more by the year 2030

1. Travel agent

It blows my mind that being a travel agent is still a viable career option in the year 2020. Going into a store and waiting around for someone to book your vacation on what closely like an IBM system from the 1980s may be the funniest thing I've ever read about on the Contractbook blog, regardless of how often I've laughed at "old school" stuff in the past. Why would someone do this when it's so much easier to just do it online?

Having said that, one might make the case that there is still a need for travel agencies, thus there is no need to do away with them. On the other hand, chatbot platforms are growing more sophisticated all the time, and it's probable that the effects of COVID-19 will have a long-lasting effect on the travel sector. As a result, I anticipate that travel businesses will opt to eliminate the human element sooner rather than later.

Unfortunately, it is very unlikely that they will do rid of the obnoxious human representatives working in the resort just soon.

2. Taxi drivers

Before Uber sold its self-driving car division in late 2020, there was an ongoing joke that Uber drivers were working to put themselves out of work, as Uber reinvested millions of dollars in fare revenues back into its driverless car projects. Uber ultimately sold its self-driving car division in late 2020.

Even if there have been issues with the autonomous vehicles used by Uber, I have a hard time seeing how taxi drivers won't become obsolete in the next ten years. It would be complete insanity for the owner of a taxi company to pay another person to drive one of their cars when that company already has a vehicle that can operate on its own.

It's possible that demand may create a market for human-driven taxis, but in a world where prices will be pushed down by automation, these taxis will have a hard time surviving.

3. Cashiers at stores

I walked into a newsagent that was located in a railway station a few years back and carried a magazine and a drink up to the cashier to purchase. She then proceeded to show me the way to the self-service section so that I could complete my purchase! Now, having previously managed one of these same businesses myself, I have no doubt that she was instructed she needed to reach a KPI for the percentage of clients who utilized the self-serve register, but come on!

In larger supermarkets at least, where you can now scan and pack your buying as you do it, so avoiding the awful "Unattended item in packing area" notice, retail cashier positions are unlikely to exist in a few years' time.

4. Those who prepare fast food

The fact that fast food restaurants are striving to depend less and less on their human staff members is not a secret that they are not afraid to share with us. Since the majority of them have already implemented self-service terminals for the ordering process, the next obvious step is to go inside the kitchen.

Some businesses, notably in the United States, have already begun to reduce their personnel in preparation for the use of robot technology to do tasks such as flipping burgers and assembling sandwiches. It is possible that in the not too distant future, your neighborhood McDonald's may have just a few of employees who are responsible for passing out orders that have been created by robots; but, I would not bet against the possibility of even that task being automated!

5. Administrative legal jobs

Legal administrative tasks and paralegal responsibilities are already increasingly being done by automation and digital technologies, therefore these positions are already at risk. The next decade will see a further increase in the sophistication of automation and digitalization, leading to an even smaller need for people to carry out the tasks formerly performed by them.

Even while there is an emphasis on artificial intelligence in some industries, it is actually not essential for things like document preparation and the analysis of contracts. Instead of selecting the tool that may seem to be the most cutting-edge to a client, legal practices that are interested in embracing technology may find that they gain an advantage by "going back to fundamentals."

Here are five occupations that are not expected to go extinct very soon.

1. Lawyer

In spite of the fact that legal study and preparation of cases will become more automated, it will be quite some time before we have robots representing us in court or questioning us during cross-examination. You are able to automate a procedure for practically every aspect of a contract. However, in order to put forth arguments, build social ties during the negotiating phase, and identify nuances in the data, you need the human element. You cannot depend just on data and algorithms.

Any step toward the automation of procedures within the various criminal justice systems throughout the globe would almost certainly be subject to a great deal of criticism.

2. HR roles

I recently published an article in which I discussed the significance of HR technology and how it may assist individuals in becoming better at their professions without, nevertheless, displacing HR experts or eliminating the need for personal interaction.

In terms of recruiting and performance management, I do not think that we are even close to eliminating the HR responsibilities we now have. In the future, more administrative and labor-intensive tasks, such as processing payroll or screening job candidates, will be performed by machines instead of humans. When it comes to human resources, however, there is no getting away from the human element.

3. Tradespeople

The use of augmented and virtual reality is already beginning to have an impact in a variety of skilled trades, including plumbing and construction. You may also see robots laying bricks and doing other jobs in some construction projects, which they do at a far faster pace than a human could ever hope to achieve.

However, it is impossible to imagine a day when robots will be able to take care of anything of this type, from plumbing and electrical work to gardening. Things like building projects might start to appear more like a production line for automobiles with more robots than humans. Despite this, individuals will still be involved in the planning and management of processes. In the case of plumbing and electronics, these tasks will very certainly continue to be handled entirely by humans.

4. analyzers of computer and information systems

As we've previously shown in this post - and as you'll already know if you read this blog with any frequency or even use Contractbook yourself - there are a tremendous number of ways in which information technology systems may be automated.

There are automated systems that can accomplish anything, including establishing contracts, analyzing things like code, and replacing portions of the IT quality assurance process. These systems may be used for other SaaS platforms as well.

In spite of this, these systems still need to be analyzed and managed in order to guarantee that they are operating appropriately. We will never, ever provide permission for automated systems to, so to speak, "mark their own homework." As a consequence of this, it is very unlikely that positions such as systems analysts would be eliminated. Even while a systems analyst function can become something that can be added on to another person's work if it does not need the individual's full-time attention, there will still be a place for those who specialize in this field, particularly in larger corporations.

5. Those in the medical profession

One industry in which technology is playing an increasingly important role is the healthcare industry. When you go to the doctor and they Google your symptoms, you will probably be taken aback, just like I was. If you are anything like me, you are likely to be surprised. On the other hand, this just scrapes the surface of the ways in which the profession may leverage technology.

Automation and artificial intelligence are capable of working both independently and in conjunction with humans to provide potentially life-saving therapy. However, the diagnostic process and therapy can never be complete without the involvement of a human being.

What are the similarities between employment that will be eliminated and those that will continue to exist?

It's possible that you've noticed a few of the recurring themes that run across the many types of professions that we've discussed so far.

The occupations that will be there in the future will undoubtedly all need a large amount of human input. This is a given. All of these occupations are also ones that, if carried out entirely by machines, could not be able to survive in the long run. How many individuals do you know who would be thrilled to have a crucial procedure during which robots would be in charge of their care from the time the anesthesiologist puts them under?

On the other hand, the positions that will be eliminated all have a number of things in common, including the following:

Repetitiveness

Low-efficiency

Frequently unprofitable - as harsh as it may seem to argue that individuals do not make enterprises lucrative, the harsh truth of the world is that this is often the case.

Simple to automate

It is more cost effective to pay for a machine or piece of software to function when you need it rather than to hire someone to stand about doing nothing if there is no need for their services since fluctuating demand is likely to occur.

Any employment, or even actions we undertake in our everyday lives, that possess these traits will, in the near future, be progressively replaced by automated systems.